According to Alalam.ir Website : * Characterization of the Israeli lobby and the British paper:br /> The paper adopted the style and methodology of academic research papers on the shortcut, and in this regard, the contents of the paper consists of six major joints: the isolation of Damascus provided the growing Western criticism of the growing Turkish role crucial lifeline Damascus, Iranian conclusionbr /> This paper has sought to analyze the content and the content of these joints through four main hypotheses are:br /> • Damascus exercise of violence against demonstrators opposed to the regime, however, the deterioration of the position of Damascus Diplomatic significantly over the past weeksbr /> • Saudi Arabia has sought the leader of the Sunni Arabs to the point of the exercise of Damascus to condemn the violence against the majority Sunni Syriabr /> • There is a sharp criticism of Turkey to Damascus, and because the relevant Turkish relations with Syria, Ankara is the most important external player in the event the Syrian filebr /> • the fate of Damascus is extremely important and very critical for Israel, because Syria is the main ally of Iran, and a source of vital support to the Lebanese Hezbollah and Palestinian resistance movementsbr /> paper has sought to deal with these hypotheses based on the mind of the focal points that require examination and scrutiny, in terms of identifying the declared dimensions of the phenomenon, and is stated below the surface, allowing further understanding of the point to draw conclusions and formulate recommendationsbr /> described the introduction to the paper, diplomatic pressure the current against Damascus, on the basis that it aims to impact negatively on the ability of the Syrian authorities to carry out the confrontations against the protest activities of political and against the backdrop of a reference paper to the escalations of ongoing and fall of the victims, sought made to ask the following questions :br /> • What is the importance of ongoing recent diplomatic moves against Syria?br /> • What are the motives that stimulate the key regional actors to the point of opposition to Damascus?br /> • What are the likely possibility of a power alliance of regional and international point of threatening the continued survival and the presence of Damascus?br /> * focus of the research paper I: the increasing isolation of Damascusbr /> touched on this theme in terms of scrutiny of what he called the increasing isolation of Damascus, which he described as reaching critical points, and in this regard, the paper pointed to the following points:br /> • deterioration of the position of diplomat in Damascus last weeks significantlybr /> • Turkish President Abdullah Gul met with the Saudi king to discuss the ongoing regional developments in the regionbr /> • The first Arab capital Riyadh, which has recalled its ambassador to Damascus, in addition to asking Damascus to end violencebr /> • has been the major Western powers are more interested in terms of rates and to tighten the isolation of Damascus in the regionbr /> • sources confirmed the U.S. White House official on the agreement Washington and Riyadh to adopt a formal position and adopt a unified approach to U.S. Arabia Damascusbr /> • escalated U.S. statements are graded at Damascus, in addition to the failure of Washington to hand make way for Washington's allies in the region (Saudi Arabia and Turkey) as well as countries of major EU (France, Britain, Germany) to point to the key role the leader in targeted Damascusbr /> • data and interpretations indicate that the positions of Washington and is a relatively hard-line stance towards Damascus, compared to the Turkish, Saudi Arabia, France and Britain caused by the perception and Washington that they do not currently have only limited ability to do hand to put pressure on Damascusbr /> • Washington's focus during this phase will focus exclusively on adherence to the principle of sanctions and the increasing failure of Washington to deal with Damascus, in addition to the pressure on its allies the Europeans and Middle Easterners to engage in the camp to isolate Damascus and the adoption of sanctions againstbr /> • The Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's efforts more pressure on Russia and China, in order to get them to engage in the camp of the imposition of sanctions against Syria and to isolate Damascusbr /> • EU seeks to impose sanctions against DamascusIt is expected that the European Union goes ahead with the adoption of the system applied the same U.S. sanctions against Damascus, in addition to not deal with itbr /> • failure of all efforts and attempts by Western countries, the main point of paying the UN Security Council to pass resolutions aimed at Damascus, and the main cause of obstruction and impeding this effort is Russia, which has stood firmly against all attempts to pass the draft resolutions of international Bank against Damascusbr /> this, the paper concluded with this theme, saying that, despite the rejection of the Russian, it is possible to adopt a new path includes moving the activities of regional pressure against Damascus, and also move the activities of pressure international organizations, including will lead to expanding the scope and intensity of criticism of Damascus, and down to change including the current international scene can put pressure on Moscow, and paid to change their positions to target the opposition Damascus by the UN Security Councilbr /> * The second focus of the research paper: the growing Arab criticismbr /> touched on this theme of what he calls the (growing Arab criticism), which seeks to scrutiny in light of the content on the following points:br /> • growing Arab criticism go hand in hand with criticism of American and Western European growingbr /> • Arab moves under way are the starting point for a diplomatic move away from Damascusbr /> • anti-Arab movements began to Damascus in the Gulf "Persian":br /> Saudi Arabia has started the process of withdrawal of the Ambassador and the demand to stop the violence, and followed suit by Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatarbr /> The Gulf Cooperation Council issued statements condemning the violence in Syria,br /> Many of the Sunni religious leaders issued statements expressing their condemnation of Damascusbr /> • Saudi-Syrian relations have improved significantly over the last period, due to Riyadh to seek a rapprochement and to build cooperative ties with Damascus in the hope that this will persuade Damascus away from Iranbr /> • Damascus refused to abandon the principle that the relations and ties with Tehran as a price for their relationships and to strengthen its ties with Riyadhbr /> • Riyadh realized that Damascus would not accept the bargain, and later found that the protest movements Riyadh, Syrian political opportunity for the escalation of tensions with Damascusbr /> • led the movement of political protests that have taken place in Saudi Arabia and the Persian Gulf countries to the escalating fears of Gulf and Saudi leaders, which led them to point to the backing of the Syrian political protest movementIn other words, if Tehran is the opinion of the responsible leaders of the Gulf of these protests, these leaders are now seeking support for a Syrian protests within a scenario designed to damage the status of Iran Middle Eastern ally of Damascus, by targetingbr /> • take the perception of the Gulf and Saudi Syrian protest movement compared to a sectarian religious dimension to the protests carried out by Sunni Islamic organizations and, therefore, efforts by Damascus to contain the efforts are aimed at the Sunni Muslim communitybr /> • Damascus has allowed her the process of pre-emptive abortion protest activities planned during the holy month of Ramadan, which raised the ire of leaders, the Saudis and the Gulf in an unprecedentedbr /> • leaders understand the Saudis and the Gulf of view is clearly that the size and intensity of protest activities of the Syrian is not enough to form a real danger to power in DamascusBut on the other at the same time well aware that the continuation of these protests, the weak and intermittent form will allow them to weaken Damascus, including that the leads to be paid in terms of response and acceptance of the option of the Gulf and Saudi leaders on Iran and also in Lebanonbr /> • is expected to continue by Gulf leaders, and the Saudis to hand to provide moral and material support to the activities of protests, Syrian, and in addition to providing money and other facilities, and diplomatic and political support, the media events the Gulf, such as Al Jazeera and others will continue to carry out media escalation against Damascusbr /> • will focus events Arabia and the GCC in the coming period more and more on the strategy of escalation of the presence of the sectarian dimension in the file protests, Syrian, and that as inciting societies of the Gulf and Saudi Arabia, the Sunni point of doing the backing of Saudi attitudes and Gulf hostile to Damascus, at the same time induce more of the Syrian internal sectarian strifebr /> • will seek events Saudi Arabia and the GCC in terms of mobilization and the mobilization of Sunni groups, particularly relevant to movements in the Salafi and Wahhabi groups and the Muslim Brotherhood in the countries of the Middle East the other hand, do conduct of processions and demonstrations in front of the Syrian embassies in Egypt, Turkey, Jordan, Tunisia, Kuwait and other Arab capitals Gulfbr /> * The third focus of the research paper: the crucial role of the Turkishbr /> touched the paper in the center of Turkey's crucial role in terms of emphasis on the following points:br /> • Syrian opposition has been more emphasis on the importance of the Turkish role in determining the final product, which can be achieved by the protests in Syria, Syrianbr /> • Turkey has the existence of a long border with Syria, in addition to Ankara enjoy the advantage of dual relationships and ties it maintains good relations with Damascus, and at the same time maintain good relations with the Syrian opposition Sunni Islamicbr /> • the current position of Ankara says that if it is not the process of ending the violence on Damascus not to rely too much on its relations with Ankara also realize in the face of external regional and internationalbr /> • Turkey with Syria share some of the components of population community, in Turkish there are large numbers of people sympathetic with the regime in Damascus and thus the increased intensity and scope of the unrest unrest in Syria will not necessarily lead to move the events of the Turkish population of ties with Syriabr /> • whenever the troubled situation in Syria, Turkey has become more threatening disorders, and vice versa, and in this regard, I spoke some Turkish official circles about the prospects for asylum Ankara to the Turkish establishment of a buffer zone inside Syrian territorybr /> The paper concluded with this theme, saying that the Turkish tensions with Syria did not reach the intensity to the stage after the establishment of Ankara to begin practice for the establishment of buffer zone and still only it persists only as an idea for a possible optionbr /> * axis of the fourth paper: Iran's Lifelinebr /> spoke about Iran as the axis represents the main lifeline of support for Damascus and said the paper the following points:br /> • The role of Damascus in support of Hezbollah and also the role of the existing corridor to connect the Iranian support for the same partybr /> • Damascus hosts the Palestinian armed resistance movements that reject the Oslo Convention, the Israeli-Palestinian peace, and at the same time, the Damascus of supporting these movements in addition to allowing them to receive Iranian supportbr /> • Tehran is well aware well that the collapse of the Damascus would not necessarily lead to the collapse of the position and the accounts of Iran's regional as well as the collapse of the Lebanese Hezbollah, which is the equivalent for Iran's first line of defense in the region, and also to the collapse of the Iranian role in the file of the Palestinian resistance, and based on the consideration of Iran to Syria as a red line which is not able to allow anyone with coveragebr /> * focus of the research paper V: Conclusionsbr /> The research paper concluded that the scenario that will happen in the short term perspective will include the following:br /> • the activities of the continuing protests, the Syrian form of intermittent low for a longer periodbr /> • continuation of the Damascus Bfagliat efforts to contain the protestsbr /> • continued existence: Washington Paris London Berlin Ankara, Riyadh, Doha, Kuwait, working to double the pressure on Damascus by the activities of sanctions and diplomatic isolation and pressure mediabr /> • continuation of the Turkish side to do the role of the external factor most effective to put pressure on Damascusbr /> and on the background of these four points, the paper, saying that as long as this "Alastmrarriet four" difficult to know where it will lead up, talk of any options that external international or regional against Syria will remain a newly premature, and therefore, the knowledge Field changes that can occur on the ground, are required to wait to know more and more ...
Original Text At Alalam.ir
No comments:
Post a Comment